Lumpy-Windchime
0xa44d0b1338d8d9abf8310323140522777429edf1
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$573.80
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$-447.85
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?
1018 shares @ 49.1¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$331.00
$-169.00
- YES
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
1410 shares @ 3.5¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$88.14
$38.15
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
8620 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$64.65
$-10.34
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
1385 shares @ 3.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$34.63
$-15.37
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
11646 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$29.11
$-45.87
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
17500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$26.25
$-23.75
- MAGIC
Magic vs. Pistons
1366 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-350.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
1330 shares @ 37.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- TIMBERWOLVES
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
930 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-195.26
- 76ERS
76ers vs. Knicks
667 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$26.24Jun 14, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$26.22Jun 14, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$26.25Jun 14, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$26.25Jun 14, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$160.80Jun 14, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$394.74Jun 14, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Knicks$92.59Jun 11, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$101.13Jun 9, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$152.79Jun 9, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$50.69Jun 9, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Golden Knights$50.75Jun 9, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$830.96May 31, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$596.63May 31, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$101.26May 29, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$202.52May 29, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$747.76May 23, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$200.00May 23, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$300.00May 23, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$2.51May 23, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs$50.79May 23, 04:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $138.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 22:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.