Jaded-Interloper
0xa4771bb3467adb72d7c608f80d4494e325d1c9c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$5.2K
Total PnL
$-5.8K
Realised
$-78.25
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
5017 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$5.0K
$-15.58
- SEBASTIAN GORZNY
ITF Wichita: Sebastian Gorzny vs Ozan Baris
347 shares @ 57.6¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$196.23
$-3.77
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
93 shares @ 54.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$47.69
$-2.31
- YES
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
3389 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-999.99
- NO
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
3040 shares @ 32.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
1449 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
1190 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-500.00
- TATE
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
863 shares @ 85.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-739.15
- YES
Anthony Black: Points O/U 14.5
667 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Healthcare" during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7?
500 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-325.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYITF Wichita: Sebastian Gorzny vs Ozan Baris$101.26Jun 14, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?$5.0KJun 14, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Wichita: Sebastian Gorzny vs Ozan Baris$101.29Jun 14, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMIlkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet$111.11Jun 12, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMTucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez$139.58Jun 11, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMITF Kursumlijska Banja: Carlos Giraldi vs Samuel Vincent Ruggeri$10.5KJun 11, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Kursumlijska Banja: Carlos Giraldi vs Samuel Vincent Ruggeri$1.0KJun 11, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Kursumlijska Banja: Carlos Giraldi vs Samuel Vincent Ruggeri$1.4KJun 11, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Kursumlijska Banja: Carlos Giraldi vs Samuel Vincent Ruggeri$2.0KJun 11, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Kursumlijska Banja: Carlos Giraldi vs Samuel Vincent Ruggeri$2.0KJun 11, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Kursumlijska Banja: Carlos Giraldi vs Samuel Vincent Ruggeri$3.0KJun 11, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez$50.96Jun 11, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIlkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet$50.82Jun 11, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Kursumlijska Banja: Carlos Giraldi vs Samuel Vincent Ruggeri$24.23Jun 11, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$500.00Apr 26, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMToulouse FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5$0.00Apr 26, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMPSV vs. AZ: Both Teams to Score$1.54Apr 26, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMSC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Score$1.72Apr 26, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMNashville SC vs. Minnesota United FC: Both Teams to Score$1.72Apr 26, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMNashville SC vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 2.5$1.79Apr 26, 17:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $613.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 10:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 08:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.