Unwilling-Average
0xa488e84e8b85a487b5fbc40e98f84eb4f5457a0e
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$5.6K
Total PnL
$169.31
Realised
$19.27
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
1200 shares @ 93.9¢·now 96.2¢·exp May 8, 2026$1.2K
$27.99
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
1200 shares @ 86.1¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.1K
$41.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
1000 shares @ 92.5¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$969.50
$44.50
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
883 shares @ 63.5¢·now 58.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$513.32
$-47.73
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
500 shares @ 91.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$479.25
$24.25
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
500 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$437.50
$-2.50
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
500 shares @ 80.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$407.45
$7.45
- NO
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
298 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$297.59
$8.35
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
150 shares @ 33.7¢·now 45.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$67.50
$17.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
200 shares @ 31.2¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$61.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$47.237h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$62.567h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$12.209h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$50.899h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 21, 2026?$0.0211h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 21, 2026?$0.0511h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 21, 2026?$0.0411h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 19, 2026?$0.0511h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 21, 2026?$0.3711h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 19, 2026?$0.2211h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 21, 2026?$0.0311h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 21, 2026?$0.0111h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 19, 2026?$0.0411h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 21, 2026?$0.0112h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 19, 2026?$0.0112h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 20, 2026?$2.0015h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 21, 2026?$0.0115h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 19, 2026?$0.0115h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 19, 2026?$0.0315h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 21, 2026?$0.0315h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $28.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 22h ago
- Last active
- 7h ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".