Misguided-Pie
0xa4a0baeee224cf3053d50e70c116321dd4ef590d
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
63
Open notional
$67.45
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-62.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- MAYWEATHER
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2
99 shares @ 68.1¢·now 62.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$61.92
$-5.54
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 84.5¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.20
$-15.43
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.17
$-4.35
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 72.1¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.65
$-4.85
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
38 shares @ 72.1¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.51
$-26.97
- CANELO
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford
648 shares @ 63.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-411.92
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August?
459 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-325.87
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?
324 shares @ 57.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-185.00
- YES
Boxing: Will Canelo vs. Crawford end in a Draw?
198 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?
124 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-64.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFloyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2$5.05May 22, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFloyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2$3.01May 13, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$1.04May 2, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$1.07May 2, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$1.00Apr 25, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFloyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2$6.19Apr 16, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFloyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2$53.29Mar 31, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$1.00Mar 31, 23:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 5?$21.11Feb 1, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?$68.19Jan 31, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January?$2.1KJan 31, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 5?$68.06Jan 30, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$1.00Jan 30, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January?$0.02Jan 30, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) settle at $4,850-$4,975 in January?$0.64Jan 30, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 30?$5.13Jan 30, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at $4,850-$4,975 in January?$1.00Jan 30, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January?$1.00Jan 30, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at $4,850-$4,975 in January?$1.00Jan 30, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?$1.00Jan 30, 15:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $55.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 13:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 16:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".