Slushy-Stepgrandmother
0xa4dcb70b7094966671b838dbbc92954dba9fd320
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$5.51
Total PnL
$-11.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5 shares @ 41.8¢·now 26.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.27
$-0.73
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?
1 shares @ 93.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$1.06
$0.07
- NO
Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.81
$-0.19
- NO
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.23
$-0.77
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 23?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 26?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3800 in August?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.05May 11, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$1.02May 11, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?$1.00Apr 24, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Apr 24, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$4.00Apr 24, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.06Apr 24, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$1.00Feb 21, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.00Feb 20, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 20, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 20, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$1.00Feb 20, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana all time high by June 30, 2026?$1.00Feb 9, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on February 10?$1.00Feb 9, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.25Feb 9, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$1.09Jan 8, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: December$1.10Jan 8, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$1.11Jan 8, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 23?$2.17Jan 8, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: December$1.00Dec 22, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 23?$1.00Dec 22, 23:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 00:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 01:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.