Official-Caper
0xa504f06a0559e5ce5b7955c3c3f215a21f06aac9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-519.48
Realised
$70.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12PM ET
694 shares @ 80.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-556.71
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
15 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-11.09
- YES
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
11 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" in October?
7 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
7 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: December
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$11.18Mar 1, 01:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$11.18Mar 1, 01:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 1, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$10.96Mar 1, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.34Mar 1, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$5.62Mar 1, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12PM ET$556.71Feb 28, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12PM ET$556.71Feb 28, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12PM ET$486.39Feb 28, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$486.39Feb 28, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$446.71Feb 28, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11AM ET$446.71Feb 28, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11AM ET$418.39Feb 28, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$418.43Feb 28, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$366.74Feb 28, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$366.75Feb 28, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$334.09Feb 28, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$334.09Feb 28, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$237.47Feb 28, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$237.49Feb 28, 15:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $198.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 00:39 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 01:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.