Clear-Development
0xa54d256bf8a77fcb143a369b5dfee67598847ab1
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
170
Open notional
$0.22
Total PnL
$-727.35
Realised
$0.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 170- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
7 shares @ 1.8¢·now 3.1¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.22
$0.09
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 21?
6311 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.31
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
951 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 21?
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
790 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.58
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
464 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
424 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$5.21May 21, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.07May 21, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.07May 21, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$6.49May 21, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$5.08May 21, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$5.40May 21, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.05May 21, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.04May 21, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$2.50May 21, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.03May 21, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$1.04May 21, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.74May 21, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.03May 21, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLMichelsen vs. Tien: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5$0.91May 21, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYMichelsen vs. Tien: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5$1.05May 21, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$0.94May 21, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.04May 21, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$0.95May 20, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.06May 20, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.07May 14, 08:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 13:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 14:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.