Quixotic-Hearth
0xa54ddf2d73c4ec8ee41b12f7f037cbd64473600d
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$12.26
Total PnL
$-7.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.67
$0.67
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 79.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.26
$0.26
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- NO
Will anyone propose at the Met Gala?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
1 shares @ 94.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Trump out as President by April 30?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Hungary" on Truth Social this week?$1.09Apr 27, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 27, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 27, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$1.00Apr 8, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 8, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$1.00Apr 8, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Hungary" on Truth Social this week?$1.00Apr 8, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?$1.00Apr 8, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone propose at the Met Gala?$1.00Apr 8, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$1.00Apr 8, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.00Apr 8, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.00Apr 8, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$1.37Apr 8, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$2.98Apr 8, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?$1.01Jan 18, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump be impeached in 2025?$1.04Jan 18, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?$1.05Jan 18, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit Gaza by Dec 31?$1.06Jan 18, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$1.06Jan 18, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.07Jan 18, 10:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 15, 11:11 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 14:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.