Striped-Quiet
0xa5573460a3e2f9737695b5d5bad4022bed3ed95c
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-30.85
Realised
$52.81
Win rate
70%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
806 shares @ 84.9¢·now 97.7¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$787.14
$102.52
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
516 shares @ 76.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$451.32
$59.32
- YES
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
37 shares @ 83.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$36.79
$5.94
- NO
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
37 shares @ 80.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$36.72
$7.10
- NO
BitBoy convicted?
6 shares @ 43.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.82
$3.28
- NO
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?
75 shares @ 27.1¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.63
$-14.68
- NO
Will Freddie Mac’s market cap be $300B or greater at market close on IPO day?
4 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.00
$1.48
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
5 shares @ 63.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.33
$0.17
- NO
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 22.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.28
$0.95
- YES
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.41
$-0.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$392.01Mar 21, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$684.61Mar 21, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.1KMar 21, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$418.95Mar 16, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$652.28Mar 16, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA?$0.95Mar 16, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.17Mar 16, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$1.1KMar 16, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$108.54Feb 12, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMBNB all time high by December 31?$0.25Feb 12, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMPump.fun all time high by December 31?$0.29Feb 12, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2025?$0.40Feb 12, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Baltimore Ravens win the AFC North?$1.00Feb 12, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?$1.01Feb 12, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake's next album debut No.1 on Billboard 200?$2.38Feb 12, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31?$2.75Feb 12, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMLecornu out as French PM by December 31?$3.39Feb 12, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump Media buy Ethereum in 2025?$4.48Feb 12, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?$4.55Feb 12, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?$5.00Feb 12, 13:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
70% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $254.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 06:10 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 09:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.