Humongous-Basics
0xa590f35d26f1377d98941ba0f9933b9bfa672d18
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$615.65
Total PnL
$-229.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Cap FDV above $400M one day after launch?
236 shares @ 84.8¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$153.40
$-46.70
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
222 shares @ 78.3¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$137.63
$-36.28
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
210 shares @ 71.3¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$106.13
$-43.63
- NO
Cap FDV above $300M one day after launch?
202 shares @ 72.5¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$103.02
$-43.38
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
159 shares @ 63.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$69.17
$-31.00
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
147 shares @ 51.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$46.30
$-28.66
Recent activity
- TRADESELLCap FDV above $250M one day after launch?$39.52Jun 26, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLCap FDV above $200M one day after launch?$4.09Jun 26, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYCap FDV above $400M one day after launch?$202.23Jun 25, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYCap FDV above $300M one day after launch?$149.22Jun 25, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYCap FDV above $250M one day after launch?$100.62Jun 25, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYCap FDV above $200M one day after launch?$51.02Jun 25, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLArcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?$29.68Jun 22, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLArcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?$8.30Jun 22, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLArcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?$86.67Jun 22, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLArcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?$36.54Jun 22, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLArcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?$58.10Jun 22, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLArcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?$78.67Jun 22, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLArcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?$125.29Jun 22, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLArcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?$32.17Jun 22, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYArcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?$303.38Jun 22, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYArcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?$153.82Jun 22, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYArcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?$51.83Jun 22, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLCitrea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$264.00May 26, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYCitrea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$220.12May 25, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLSolstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?$14.12May 25, 14:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $107.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 16:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 18:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.