Taut-Bear
0xa597ecc30d4bfdd4d45116fbd0fcb21d4c30c90d
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$6.5K
Total PnL
$-299.02
Realised
$452.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
7000 shares @ 90.4¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.4K
$118.04
- YES
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
200 shares @ 40.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.00
$-26.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
2500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
1100 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
900 shares @ 54.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-488.99
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
500 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
300 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-110.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?
290 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
200 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$4.5KJun 3, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?$103.00May 26, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$0.20May 25, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?$0.21May 24, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$5.27May 23, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$5.16May 23, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$5.09May 23, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?$8.00May 23, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$4.70May 23, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$15.00May 23, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$223.73May 23, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$5.16May 23, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$5.14May 23, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$5.14May 23, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$5.14May 23, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$5.11May 23, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$5.11May 23, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$5.11May 23, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$5.13May 23, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$5.12May 23, 10:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $101.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 10:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 20:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.