Frail-Fountain
0xa5a46a183c89561ca66e6b8d57b94b68a14d84a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-636.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
667 shares @ 15.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$666.67
$566.67
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
342 shares @ 79.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$328.61
$58.61
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
284 shares @ 88.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$277.70
$27.70
- NO
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
25 shares @ 81.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.33
$3.33
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
57 shares @ 35.0¢·now 19.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.29
$-8.71
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
45 shares @ 44.5¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$4.95
$-15.05
- YES
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?
455 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
364 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?
302 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 8, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 4, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $76.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.