Subtle-Reaction
0xa5bcf0abedc5a4d6271cbaaaa79eae3556422ad5
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-12.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?
631 shares @ 24.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$432.24
$280.80
- CLEMSON TIGERS
Xavier Musketeers vs. Clemson Tigers
706 shares @ 89.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$353.00
$-275.34
- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
340 shares @ 47.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$340.00
$177.82
- OBRAS
Obras vs. San Lorenzo
324 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$324.00
$178.20
- NO
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
3 shares @ 84.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.97
$0.45
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in March?
1013 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-162.08
- NO
Will RV There Yet? win Sit Back and Relax in the 2025 Steam Awards?
628 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-558.92
- NO
Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?
535 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-470.80
- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?
317 shares @ 83.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-265.65
- NO
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?
274 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-200.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLAnthropic IPO before 2027?$147.87Apr 27, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic IPO before 2027?$24.30Apr 27, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$155.52Apr 23, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$151.44Apr 23, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$306.80Apr 12, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?$265.65Apr 7, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$242.54Apr 7, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$22.26Mar 31, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 29, 2026?$18.49Mar 31, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 29, 2026?$6.53Mar 31, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$13.86Mar 30, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$25.52Mar 30, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$107.52Mar 30, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$169.92Mar 30, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$144.24Mar 30, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$39.38Mar 29, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$148.20Mar 29, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.20 in March?$153.60Mar 29, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.20 in March?$1.60Mar 29, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.20 in March?$1.60Mar 29, 19:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $156.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 17:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.