Practical-Pillow
0xa6452393e00bbb5ff04688aac7092829d32af7c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$32.75
Total PnL
$-8.71
Realised
$-2.38
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
5 shares @ 75.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$4.35
$0.60
- NO
Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?
5 shares @ 68.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$3.58
$0.17
- NO
Fed rate hike in 2026?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$2.63
$0.63
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
6 shares @ 36.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.37
$0.21
- YES
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
30 shares @ 5.6¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.35
$0.68
- YES
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
18 shares @ 11.4¢·now 12.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.32
$0.27
- YES
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
19 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$2.19
$0.10
- YES
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?
12 shares @ 18.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.92
$-0.24
- YES
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.49
$-0.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in July?$2.00Jul 2, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$2.00Jul 2, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$1.77Jul 2, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$2.00Jul 2, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.79Jul 2, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$2.02Jul 2, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.72Jul 2, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$2.00Jul 2, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.79Jul 2, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$2.12Jul 2, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$1.78Jul 2, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$2.00Jul 2, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$1.79Jul 2, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$2.05Jul 2, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$1.74Jul 2, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$2.02Jul 2, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$1.76Jul 2, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?$3.40Jul 2, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$2.00Jul 2, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$1.74Jul 2, 16:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 07:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 22:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.