Bitter-Waiver
0xa6477dee1c4ac566922af344a6e5947031d6d77d
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$46.54
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-17.60
Win rate
47%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
59 shares @ 36.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$28.91
$7.67
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
16 shares @ 66.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.44
$-1.12
- YES
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
7 shares @ 38.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.20
$-0.59
- NO
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 12.4¢·now 72.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.46
$1.21
- YES
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
10 shares @ 24.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.25
$-1.15
- NO
Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.92
$0.01
- NO
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.81
$0.30
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.79
$0.04
- YES
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 23.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.78
$-0.38
- YES
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-07?
1318 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-225.38
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?$1.00May 15, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ime Udoka win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$5.00May 15, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$63.00May 15, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$193.93Apr 27, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit?$332.76Apr 27, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$216.48Apr 23, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit?$318.60Apr 23, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$225.08Apr 12, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?$31.85Apr 12, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?$59.15Apr 12, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?$157.08Apr 11, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?$165.20Apr 11, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?$91.00Apr 11, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?$157.08Apr 11, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?$165.20Apr 11, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMGeorgia College & State Bobcats vs. South Florida Bulls$425.00Apr 10, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$215.15Mar 31, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$215.28Mar 31, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$215.28Mar 31, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$71.52Mar 31, 13:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $216.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 01:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 03:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.