Anguished-Tape
0xa65ac5df0e941375a022535464ec0bb4315d5019
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$11.08
Total PnL
$-129.72
Realised
$-3.96
Win rate
0%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
55 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.67
$-0.27
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
60 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.50
$-0.30
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 13?
48 shares @ 10.5¢·now 4.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$1.90
$-3.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 12?
9 shares @ 58.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 10?
880 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 7?
314 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 6?
120 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 8?
113 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 11?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 6?
48 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C on August 13?$6.06Aug 12, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 12?$5.10Aug 12, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 12?$14.20Aug 12, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 12?$5.16Aug 12, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 11?$8.10Aug 12, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?$5.02Aug 11, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$5.18Aug 11, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 13?$5.22Aug 11, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C on August 13?$5.17Aug 11, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 11?$5.10Aug 11, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 11?$1.05Aug 10, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 11?$5.17Aug 10, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 10?$1.05Aug 10, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 10?$0.66Aug 10, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 10?$2.36Aug 10, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 10?$0.98Aug 10, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 10?$0.09Aug 10, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 10?$0.41Aug 10, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 10?$1.98Aug 10, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 10?$5.21Aug 10, 13:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 33 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
33 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 6, 23:51 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 04:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.