Excitable-Icing
0xa688e2c829764e627962c09ebdfc7a3818070f82
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$9.4K
Total PnL
$298.76
Realised
$7.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20099 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.3K
$98.08
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20117 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.3K
$32.61
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20101 shares @ 10.5¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.3K
$168.49
- YES
Will Dani Olmo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
77740 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$349.83
$38.87
- YES
Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12177 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$164.38
$66.97
- YES
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
135 shares @ 4.2¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.55
$0.88
- YES
Will Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- YES
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be less than 46%?
1024 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-12.03
- YES
Will Rashid Shaheed win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
260 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.38
- YES
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?
239 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-29.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.26Jun 14, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.29Jun 14, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.38Jun 14, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.29Jun 14, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.51Jun 14, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.68Jun 14, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.26Jun 14, 06:36 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$23.42Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.80Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.52Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.82Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$251.57Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$399.82Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$399.76Jun 14, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$20.96Jun 14, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$68.97Jun 14, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$29.93Jun 14, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$49.05Jun 14, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$99.65Jun 14, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$99.65Jun 14, 00:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $83.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 23:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 07:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.