0xa69133fc17718bfae2b757b0e5e93337bb845752
0xa69133fc17718bfae2b757b0e5e93337bb845752
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$55.10
Total PnL
$-26.36
Realised
$-6.57
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
30 shares @ 88.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$29.99
$3.50
- NO
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
10 shares @ 97.6¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$9.76
$-0.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 9?
10 shares @ 87.5¢·now 78.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$7.84
$-0.90
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
5 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$4.99
$0.22
- NO
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
2 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.00
$0.09
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on May 9?
13 shares @ 11.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.53
$-0.90
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
162 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.52
- YES
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
145 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.24
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
137 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.28
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
15 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 9?$4.432h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 9?$4.372h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$9.774h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on May 9?$1.496h ago
- TRADESELLWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$28.061d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$9.701d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$9.701d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$9.701d ago
- TRADESELLWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$38.661d ago
- TRADESELLRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$0.531d ago
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$3.191d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$29.141d ago
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$2.091d ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$1.181d ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$1.181d ago
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$1.971d ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$1.181d ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$1.181d ago
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$1.971d ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$1.181d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $7.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
