Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
Probability
9¢
1h
-0.2pp
24h
+4.7pp
24h Vol
$990.21
Liquidity
$23.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+5.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 5pp over 24h
Now 9¢; -0.2pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1040h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 7.2¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1040.2h
- 15:50SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1040h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 9¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.9pp
to 9¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.4pp
to 9¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.4pp
to 9¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 9¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.1pp
to 9¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 9¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.4pp
to 9¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 9¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 9¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 9¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 9¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Roland Garros Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Roland Garros Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Roland Garros Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after June 21, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Roland Garros (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 8, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (7.2¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).