Flickering-Loaf
0xa696f5933c1053d34ac8e463c7f0021c171311fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
186
Open notional
$161.82
Total PnL
$-622.45
Realised
$0.20
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 186- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
962 shares @ 5.2¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$58.17
$8.17
- YES
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$37.02
$27.02
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
576 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.80
$1.80
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
215 shares @ 4.7¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.49
$-1.51
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 11.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.89
$2.89
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
47 shares @ 10.7¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.50
$2.50
- YES
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.90
$0.90
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs$5.09Jun 14, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$1.26Jun 14, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner$4.05Jun 14, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner$5.06Jun 14, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLValorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs$4.78Jun 14, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs$5.06Jun 14, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLGames Total: O/U 2.5$9.39Jun 14, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner$6.07Jun 14, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.42Jun 14, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?$5.10Jun 14, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYCôte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$5.18Jun 14, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$2.90Jun 14, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$2.03Jun 14, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$2.74Jun 14, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner$5.07Jun 14, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$24.17Jun 14, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$13.89Jun 14, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMJalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5$11.32Jun 14, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMDe'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5$10.34Jun 14, 03:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $7.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 04:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.