False-Abrogation
0xa6b396998449ecaa1329909a1032207c15dc4a0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$16.45
Total PnL
$-14.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.00
$0.02
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.98
$0.07
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.95
$0.02
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.89
$0.03
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 23.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.63
$-0.53
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
19855 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-9.9K
- UP
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
3111 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- UP
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
3042 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
1111 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-555.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
1041 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-520.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$4.98May 30, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$4.93May 20, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.86May 10, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.15May 1, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$4.91May 1, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?$5.10May 1, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$3.92Feb 9, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?$4.79Feb 5, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-01-18?$1.65Jan 13, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$1.2KOct 28, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.94Oct 28, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$3.22Oct 28, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$520.50Oct 28, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$328.34Oct 28, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$555.50Oct 28, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$339.50Oct 28, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$389.50Oct 28, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$1.6KOct 28, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$5.5KOct 16, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$4.4KOct 16, 10:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $862.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 09:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 14:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".