Bleak-Volunteering
0xa6b39fd476c6bb96f823d6216197808435c22280
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
74
Open notional
$11.18
Total PnL
$-603.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- YES
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
194 shares @ 18.0¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.18
$-23.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 57°F or below on November 5?
1298 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 53°F or below on November 11?
1133 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 45°F or higher on November 20?
1003 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on November 12?
943 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-6.76
- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Japan?
750 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-40.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 54°F or below on November 12?
743 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-4.99
- YES
Will VIX close above 50 by June 30?
700 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-216.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 50°F or below on November 10?
548 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on November 9?
427 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Japan?$41.65Jun 29, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance$82.77Jun 29, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?$37.07May 3, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$356.84Apr 29, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$0.40Apr 29, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$7.44Apr 29, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession by end of 2026?$37.62Apr 29, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$51.43Apr 29, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$121.00Apr 15, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$10.00Apr 9, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$10.00Apr 9, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$0.72Apr 9, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$10.00Apr 9, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$7.00Apr 9, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$20.00Apr 9, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$30.80Apr 8, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$7.20Apr 8, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$30.00Apr 8, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$0.23Apr 8, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$16.18Apr 8, 01:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $29.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 21, 23:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 14:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.