Moist-Spy
0xa6d8015970d5ff3ab47c22a96ef53a77adae4951
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
74
Open notional
$23.56
Total PnL
$-107.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- YES
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.05
$0.05
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.79
$-2.21
- NO
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 33.1¢·now 57.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.73
$0.73
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
111 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.72
$-0.28
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$1.70
$0.70
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
143 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.07
$-1.93
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 9.2¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.41
$-0.59
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.41
$-0.59
Recent activity
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$6.67Jun 1, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$9.88May 30, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.67May 12, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$19.28May 8, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$1.00Apr 18, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$1.00Apr 18, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$1.00Apr 18, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?$1.00Apr 18, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?$1.00Apr 18, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?$1.00Apr 18, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?$1.00Apr 18, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$1.00Apr 18, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?$8.70Apr 18, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Apr 9, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$1.00Apr 9, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?$1.00Apr 9, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$1.00Apr 9, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$3.70Apr 9, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 6, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 6, 11:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 10:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 14:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.