Embarrassed-Fix
0xa6e6eafca895640fdd624097eecd1b301cac480c
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$49.37
Total PnL
$-63.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
20 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$19.74
$4.74
- YES
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
94 shares @ 54.5¢·now 20.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$18.86
$-32.54
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.64
$5.64
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.13
$-0.87
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
38 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
25 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
19 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?$7.81Mar 17, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?$8.47Mar 17, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$24.19Mar 17, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?$34.08Mar 17, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Golden - KPop Demon Hunters" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.00Jan 14, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Jan 9, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 9, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?$5.00Jan 9, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA 6 launch postponed again?$51.40Jan 9, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?$5.00Jan 9, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?$5.00Jan 9, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$9.00Jan 9, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$15.00Jan 9, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?$15.00Jan 9, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Golden - KPop Demon Hunters" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$5.00Jan 9, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$15.00Jan 9, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$15.00Jan 9, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$15.00Jan 9, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$0.00Jan 8, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMOne Direction reunion in 2025?$4.48Jan 8, 23:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $14.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 05:14 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 23:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.