Complex-Expansionism
0xa6f2b401c3afaaf98b3c9781a5bdfd0068551255
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$884.30
Total PnL
$-124.02
Realised
$269.32
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
600 shares @ 9.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$177.00
$123.00
- YES
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
45637 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$159.73
$-17.89
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 5.1¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$129.00
$27.00
- YES
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4500 shares @ 1.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$96.30
$33.30
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4000 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$78.00
$6.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1150 shares @ 8.6¢·now 6.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$77.62
$-21.27
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1100 shares @ 8.9¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$67.65
$-30.25
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2000 shares @ 5.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$45.00
$-61.00
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3000 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$40.50
$-31.50
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
3000 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.50
$-82.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?$0.38Jun 12, 01:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$102.00Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?$0.27Jun 11, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?$0.86Jun 11, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?$0.06Jun 11, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?$0.33Jun 11, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?$2.65Jun 11, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$90.00Jun 11, 17:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?$65.32Jun 10, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?$0.83Jun 10, 01:51 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.73Jun 10, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?$105.26Jun 9, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?$21.04Jun 9, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?$5.05Jun 9, 18:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $30.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 15:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.