Ornery-Decryption
0xa6f3a814a5d52e47b1bdec7c45cf8c177abc30b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$17.19
Total PnL
$-3.46
Realised
$1.85
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
3 shares @ 68.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.49
$0.49
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
4 shares @ 68.2¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.40
$-0.10
- NO
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.06
$0.56
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
4 shares @ 41.2¢·now 51.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.89
$0.39
- YES
Will Birmingham Legion FC win on 2026-07-24?
3 shares @ 43.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$1.48
$-0.02
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Lyngby BK vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?
6 shares @ 27.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.42
$-0.08
- NO
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 82.4¢·now 93.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- NO
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by July 31?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 73.4¢·now 74.6¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.46Jul 27, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLSeattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers$1.80Jul 27, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.01Jul 27, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.53Jul 27, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.05Jul 27, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Randers FC win on 2026-07-27?$1.04Jul 27, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lyngby BK vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?$1.55Jul 27, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYThe Memphis Classic: Katie Volynets vs Viktorija Golubic$1.01Jul 27, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers$1.02Jul 27, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?$0.00Jul 27, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?$1.55Jul 25, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Birmingham Legion FC win on 2026-07-24?$1.54Jul 25, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMBloomfield Hills: Michael Zheng vs Adam Walton$0.00Jul 24, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS end in a draw?$0.00Jul 24, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS end in a draw?$0.00Jul 24, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill FF Jaro win on 2026-07-24?$1.72Jul 24, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC UTA Arad vs. ASC Oțelul Galați end in a draw?$5.56Jul 24, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS end in a draw?$1.04Jul 24, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC UTA Arad vs. ASC Oțelul Galați end in a draw?$1.04Jul 24, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FF Jaro win on 2026-07-24?$1.02Jul 24, 16:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 15:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 19:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.