Wiry-Woodland
0xa72e54bc62aa6e09c03dbe111157b7f1022c089a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$64.57
Total PnL
$-931.67
Realised
$-220.76
Win rate
3%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- FRANCESCA CURMI
ITF Ceska Lipa: Sofya Lansere vs Francesca Curmi
37 shares @ 67.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$36.94
$11.94
- YES
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?
49 shares @ 72.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$16.28
$-18.72
- NO
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
21 shares @ 48.1¢·now 51.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.59
$0.59
- YES
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
43 shares @ 69.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.75
$-29.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
131 shares @ 38.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-49.99
- NO
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
98 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
98 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
97 shares @ 31.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-30.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
90 shares @ 59.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-53.47
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$93.67Jul 6, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$55.56Jun 24, 19:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?$57.66Jun 19, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYLibema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur$25.24Jun 10, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$25.25Jun 10, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?$35.55Jun 10, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Ceska Lipa: Sofya Lansere vs Francesca Curmi$25.24Jun 10, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Merzig: Milana Maslenkova vs Fabienne Gettwart$20.19Jun 10, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$12.95Jun 10, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$18.83Jun 10, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMFoggia: Laura Mair vs Yiming Dang$30.30Jun 10, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMBirmingham: Sho Shimabukuro vs Shintaro Mochizuki$34.67Jun 10, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$47.62Jun 10, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFoggia: Laura Mair vs Yiming Dang$20.20Jun 3, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska$25.26Jun 3, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBirmingham: Ugo Blanchet vs Felix Gill$20.17Jun 3, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBirmingham: Sho Shimabukuro vs Shintaro Mochizuki$26.19Jun 3, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMSan Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers$14.29Jun 3, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees$30.31Jun 2, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers$10.09Jun 2, 22:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
30 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $19.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 17:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 13:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.