Testy-Condominium
0xa73298dc32dc0728d17fd98d3e19e2ad663c8818
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$15.2K
Total PnL
$2.3K
Realised
$1.9K
Win rate
100%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5000 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.0K
$400.02
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
2600 shares @ 81.8¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.9K
$-256.00
- NO
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.0K
$130.00
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
1000 shares @ 96.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1000.00
$37.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1000 shares @ 82.3¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$915.00
$92.22
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1000 shares @ 69.4¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$795.00
$100.50
- NO
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?
649 shares @ 89.9¢·now 95.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$616.29
$32.95
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
500 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$500.00
$65.18
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
500 shares @ 92.2¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$477.26
$16.26
- NO
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?
500 shares @ 93.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$452.49
$-12.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.23Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jul 27, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLAligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?$26.19Jul 20, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUSDS depeg by December 31?$11.40Jul 19, 16:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
4 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $38.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.