Mountainous-Pavilion
0xa79d2b3b5d3a42f42b18cb81507c749f10626b36
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
74
Open notional
$31.61
Total PnL
$-511.94
Realised
$4.14
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7PM ET
22 shares @ 41.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$21.78
$12.78
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.89
$-0.11
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 55.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.10
$-6.90
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7PM ET
27 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.01
$-0.79
- GENTLE MATES
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A
1108 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-19.18
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 16?
891 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-85.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
240 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.09
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
230 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.20
- BNK FEARX
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
182 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-11.66
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.00May 19, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7PM ET$0.86May 18, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$2.14May 18, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.67May 18, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.12May 18, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$1.80May 18, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7PM ET$2.08May 18, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7PM ET$3.12May 18, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$3.19May 18, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7PM ET$4.17May 18, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$4.57May 18, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$3.19May 18, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.52May 16, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.19May 13, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.19May 11, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$1.95May 11, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$2.33May 11, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$2.41May 11, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$4.50May 11, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$10.80May 11, 23:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $4.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 22:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 00:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".