Adventurous-Stud
0xa7a52fa6a446c6630711bdd923204fc634d037f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
52
Open notional
$93.58
Total PnL
$-608.59
Realised
$1.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
115 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$58.27
$-1.73
- YES
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.62
$-1.38
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.22
$-5.78
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.83
$-1.17
- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
15 shares @ 6.6¢·now 8.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$1.18
$0.18
- NO
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jan 18, 2027$1.18
$0.18
- NO
Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $10.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.