Paltry-Venom
0xa7b45e15116d0769ab5a19908d0cd876e3ecb7b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$5.1K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
3253 shares @ 76.7¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.4K
$-138.27
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
15387 shares @ 17.5¢·now 13.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.1K
$-622.75
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?
11798 shares @ 8.5¢·now 5.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$648.87
$-351.11
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7042 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-499.99
- YES
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal?
833 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Senegal?
714 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?
417 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?
217 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2.5KJul 29, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$324.86Jul 29, 14:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$660.10Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.44Jul 19, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$502.29Jul 19, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$202.59Jul 19, 21:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: France (-1.5)$446.82Jul 18, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France vs. England end in a draw?$100.38Jul 18, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. England end in a draw?$103.85Jul 18, 20:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $365.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 16:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 14:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.