Warm-Parchment
0xa7b5ed046197eda9f861588fc8080f9b70e8a4d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$64.86
Total PnL
$-16.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?
61 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$60.61
$0.61
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 1, 2026?
4 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.26
$0.26
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
23 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 21?
8 shares @ 98.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-8.35
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
5 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?$60.04May 3, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 1, 2026?$4.01May 1, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?$2.38May 1, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 23?$52.47May 1, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?$2.00Apr 22, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 23?$50.00Apr 22, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?$1.17Apr 19, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?$1.00Apr 19, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15?$64.04Apr 16, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15?$63.32Apr 15, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 13?$63.32Apr 14, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 13?$62.61Apr 13, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$1.00Apr 13, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$1.00Apr 13, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.00Apr 11, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$1.00Apr 11, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$1.00Apr 11, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$1.00Apr 11, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$10.08Apr 11, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$10.00Apr 11, 03:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $16.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 04:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 06:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.