Muddy-Clasp
0xa7c41437a6012881a9747753a56a136b63cb7387
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
98
Open notional
$79.33
Total PnL
$-243.49
Realised
$-51.71
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 98- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?
14 shares @ 34.8¢·now 51.3¢·exp May 14, 2026$7.37
$2.37
- YES
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
41 shares @ 14.6¢·now 12.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$5.15
$-0.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on May 14?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$4.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
26 shares @ 23.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.57
$-1.43
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.17
$-0.83
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 74.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.02
$-0.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 15?
8 shares @ 37.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.73
$0.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on May 14?
5 shares @ 63.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$3.67
$0.67
- NO
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.03
$0.03
- YES
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
9 shares @ 43.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.84
$-1.16
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 13?$3.33May 14, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 14?$2.13May 14, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 17?$1.03May 13, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 17?$3.10May 13, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 17?$2.06May 13, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on May 14?$5.04May 13, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 13?$1.03May 13, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 14?$2.04May 13, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on May 14?$3.06May 13, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 14?$1.03May 13, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on May 14?$3.09May 13, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$1.04May 13, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.05May 13, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.05May 13, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 14?$0.57May 13, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?$3.09May 13, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 14?$0.18May 13, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 14?$1.03May 13, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 15?$0.85May 13, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 13?$2.94May 13, 19:06 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 03:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 01:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".