Grave-Effacement
0xa7e54d6e412021436697e39c9c8633269c90e522
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$22.59
Total PnL
$-132.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$11.13
$1.13
- YES
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$1.76
$0.76
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
29 shares @ 35.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.57
$-8.43
- YES
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
14 shares @ 58.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.88
$-6.98
- YES
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 8.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.81
$-1.19
- YES
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
156 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.70
$-1.30
- YES
Will Racing Bulls achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.49
$-0.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$1.02Jul 3, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$1.01Jul 3, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$1.03Jul 3, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$1.01Jul 3, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oliver Bearman achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$1.03Jul 3, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Racing Bulls achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$1.01Jul 3, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$1.03Jun 28, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$5.26Jun 28, 00:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$5.95Jun 28, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$1.02Jun 1, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$1.02Jun 1, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$1.02May 1, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$3.26May 1, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Cyprus in March?$0.16Mar 30, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$0.05Mar 30, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$0.02Mar 30, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$2.22Mar 30, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$0.71Mar 25, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$5.00Mar 25, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMNext Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?$1.56Mar 21, 13:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 12:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 19:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.