Improbable-Midwife
0xa83324ead0cd193c286de8b004bc2419534ee83b
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$20.72
Total PnL
$0.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$1.49
$0.49
- YES
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$1.49
$0.49
- YES
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.39
$0.39
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 73.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.36
$0.36
- YES
Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$1.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1 shares @ 82.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.21
$0.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?$1.00Feb 10, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?$1.00Feb 4, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?$1.00Jan 27, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$1.00Jan 21, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.00Dec 30, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?$1.00Dec 23, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?$1.00Dec 17, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$1.00Dec 8, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$1.00Nov 26, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?$1.00Nov 18, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?$1.00Nov 11, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rocket Lab (RKLB) close above $50 end of November?$1.00Nov 5, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Oct 28, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.00Oct 21, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$1.00Oct 14, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rodrygo stay with Real Madrid?$1.08Oct 8, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vienna host Eurovision 2026?$1.43Oct 8, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?$2.36Oct 8, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.00Oct 8, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Sep 23, 07:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 12:43 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 10:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.