Entire-Coach
0xa8774f84e0b715fba3e6a614fcd0ebae1efb439e
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$396.52
Total PnL
$-5.7K
Realised
$27.06
Win rate
42%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
330 shares @ 45.4¢·now 60.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$199.69
$49.69
- YES
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 66.5¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$75.88
$-24.12
- NO
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
36 shares @ 56.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$23.57
$3.57
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
35 shares @ 57.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$19.12
$-0.88
- NO
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?
33 shares @ 51.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$12.67
$-4.33
- YES
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?
28 shares @ 36.1¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$12.03
$2.03
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.96
$1.96
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$11.58
$1.58
- YES
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
36 shares @ 28.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.46
$-0.54
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
546 shares @ 2.7¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.91
$-7.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?$17.00Jul 20, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?$20.00Jul 20, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?$10.00Jul 20, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$48.39Jul 20, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$9.00Jul 18, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$50.78Jul 18, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$20.00Jul 18, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?$10.00Jul 18, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$20.00Jul 18, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$10.00Jul 18, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$100.00Jul 18, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$5.00Jul 18, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 31?$10.00Jul 18, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$10.00Jul 18, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?$24.44Jul 18, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$4.00Jul 14, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$5.00Jul 14, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$100.00Jul 14, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$4.00Jul 13, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$10.00Jul 13, 19:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
42% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $22.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 15:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 20:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.