Thoughtful-Scalp
0xa87a6c4444852bc2384bb74af67fdd0fba0f5403
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$5.4K
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$0.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
8744 shares @ 61.1¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.0K
$-318.29
- NO
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
842 shares @ 60.7¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$408.22
$-102.70
- YES
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
40 shares @ 24.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.26
$-8.34
- NO
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
4485 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-511.35
- YES
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
415 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-207.54
- NO
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
332 shares @ 68.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-226.27
- YES
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?
151 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-17.30
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $58 by end of February?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
100 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-13.80
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
86 shares @ 67.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-57.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$117.60May 22, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$186.72May 22, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$104.00May 21, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$217.30May 21, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$6.00Apr 15, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$30.69Apr 15, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$6.00Apr 15, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$23.31Apr 15, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$60.00Apr 15, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$60.00Apr 15, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?$185.01Apr 15, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$274.35Apr 15, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO before 2027?$3.00Apr 15, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO before 2027?$7.46Apr 15, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.67Apr 15, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$8.96Apr 14, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$3.84Apr 14, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$6.40Apr 14, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO before 2027?$23.58Apr 14, 21:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?$37.26Apr 14, 19:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $85.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 13:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.