Quiet-Guestbook
0xa89e5a80378e4c28c80e8b015489275e8524e87f
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$81.48
Total PnL
$-401.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
27 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$27.17
$2.17
- YES
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$26.32
$21.32
- YES
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$13.13
$3.13
- YES
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.52
$-0.48
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7 shares @ 75.7¢·now 76.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
12 shares @ 40.1¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.31
$-4.69
- LEGACY
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
1863 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31?$10.00May 29, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?$10.00May 29, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump weaponization fund blocked by May 31?$10.39May 29, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$25.14May 29, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$5.00Mar 21, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$15.00Mar 21, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$10.00Mar 21, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$0.00Mar 21, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$0.00Mar 21, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$8.33Mar 21, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?$25.00Mar 21, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$1.14Mar 21, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$17.58Mar 21, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$15.00Mar 21, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$25.00Mar 21, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$0.00Mar 21, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$0.00Mar 21, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$18.95Mar 21, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$15.00Mar 21, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 05:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $11.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 19:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 15:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".