Competent-Grasshopper
0xa8a42c2a94386421ddedc0c227805cb30d2cfcd7
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-708.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
7000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
1498 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-29.74
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
1261 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
720 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
679 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?
583 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.08
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
536 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.36
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
384 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.92
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
330 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-14.31
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.13Jul 7, 10:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $10.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.