Troubled-Karate-Backburn
0xa8e0ceb5f331e79f54530a789f6d6502c9bf70e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$658.35
Total PnL
$37.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
151 shares @ 75.2¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$131.08
$17.82
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
209 shares @ 51.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$128.53
$21.94
- YES
Will Starmer say "King" or "Queen" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
53 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$53.16
$3.16
- YES
Will Starmer say "Constituent" or "Constituency" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
53 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$52.37
$2.37
- YES
Will Starmer say "Reform" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
52 shares @ 96.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$51.70
$1.70
- YES
Will Starmer say "Poverty" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
52 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$51.52
$1.52
- YES
Will Starmer say "Police" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
51 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$51.15
$1.15
- YES
Will Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
51 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$50.40
$0.40
- YES
Will Starmer say "Sport" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
51 shares @ 97.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$46.36
$-3.64
- YES
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
53 shares @ 97.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$42.07
$-8.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Sport" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$50.05Jun 3, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$50.06Jun 3, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Poverty" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$50.06Jun 3, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$50.02Jun 3, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Constituent" or "Constituency" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$50.10Jun 3, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Reform" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$50.07Jun 3, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Police" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$50.05Jun 3, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "King" or "Queen" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$50.12Jun 3, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.00Jun 3, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$50.00Jun 2, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$160.00Jun 1, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?$207.99Jun 1, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$4.31May 29, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$133.29May 29, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$139.50May 29, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$127.50May 28, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$135.02May 28, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$117.75May 26, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$118.00May 26, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$5.89May 25, 19:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $52.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 01:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 11:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".