Calculating-Excess
0xa8e6572d0f84dbf329f08ab75646a1791a99ab5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$72.90
Total PnL
$-1.38
Realised
$2.56
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?
56 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$55.63
$2.39
- NO
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
17 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$17.27
$1.55
- YES
Trump out as President by March 31?
444 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.66
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
193 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.22
Recent activity
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$78.24Jun 2, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$76.28May 25, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19.76May 16, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$21.99May 16, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?$33.03May 6, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?$39.50May 6, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 15?$40.92May 6, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$39.14May 5, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$7.83Apr 15, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.69Apr 15, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.29Apr 15, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.41Apr 15, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.59Apr 15, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.84Apr 15, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.20Apr 15, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.72Apr 15, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$2.10Apr 15, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by March 31, 2026?$54.27Apr 1, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$15.72Mar 30, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by March 31?$106.99Mar 29, 16:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $35.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 14, 07:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 18:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.