Tan-Utility
0xa90942eb2f6b47d1932ca46937554dd875208aba
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$67.37
Total PnL
$-34.07
Realised
$1.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026?
54 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$53.86
$9.69
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
14 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$13.51
$0.68
- NO
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
34 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-22.92
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
32 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-23.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$27.62Jul 23, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$36.75Jul 16, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$23.21Jun 22, 23:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$6.33Apr 6, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$23.10Apr 6, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?$12.83Apr 5, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$68.24Apr 4, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$5.96Mar 28, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$9.23Mar 28, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$60.77Mar 28, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$31.51Mar 28, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$30.11Mar 24, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$15.49Mar 21, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$15.00Mar 16, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$21.20Feb 27, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?$78.61Feb 25, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?$22.81Feb 25, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?$15.56Feb 25, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?$16.24Feb 25, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?$2.44Feb 25, 16:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $35.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 08:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 13:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.