Clear-Cut-Furniture-Drainage
0xa9a0a99ce7becca79ec76bd8a76a6b8fb40fe259
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$520.30
Total PnL
$-10.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
326 shares @ 92.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$295.11
$-4.89
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
85 shares @ 89.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$78.13
$2.13
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
53 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$49.73
$-0.27
- NO
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
103 shares @ 39.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.44
$-2.56
- NO
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
75 shares @ 40.1¢·now 32.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$23.94
$-6.06
- NO
Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
308 shares @ 3.2¢·now 6.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.35
$10.35
- NO
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
908 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.90
$0.90
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$4.69
$-0.31
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$40.00May 17, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$5.11May 16, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$30.90May 16, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$10.48May 16, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$10.49May 16, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$99.99May 16, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.15May 15, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?$5.17May 15, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$400.00May 15, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by June 30?$76.00May 14, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$50.00May 14, 19:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $66.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 19:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 17:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".