Clear-Cut-Furniture-Drainage
0xa9a0a99ce7becca79ec76bd8a76a6b8fb40fe259
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$73.99
Total PnL
$-133.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
51 shares @ 79.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.54
$3.54
- NO
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
45 shares @ 67.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.45
$0.45
- NO
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
908 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
569 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
123 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
104 shares @ 59.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-62.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$45.98Jul 1, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$83.10Jun 21, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$29.97Jun 15, 05:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$49.79Jun 15, 05:32 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$52.98Jun 15, 05:32 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$30.86Jun 10, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?$10.37Jun 7, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$30.41Jun 7, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$30.00Jun 5, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLVon der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?$29.92Jun 5, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?$10.00Jun 2, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$30.00Jun 2, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$40.00May 31, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$30.00May 31, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYVon der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?$30.18May 31, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$30.00May 31, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$40.00May 31, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$50.20May 31, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$40.00May 31, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$40.00May 31, 21:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $48.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 19:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 08:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.