Separate-Likeness
0xa9dd5a6eced2c44e4e51f63f8a24a156958e6d2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$3.0K
Total PnL
$5.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
1099 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$22.22
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1401 shares @ 80.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$-35.09
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
798 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$798.00
$18.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$397.99Jun 20, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.1KJun 20, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$46.27Jun 15, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$492.04Jun 15, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$397.20Jun 15, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$822.23Jun 15, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$2.01Jun 15, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$2.45Jun 15, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$18.63Jun 15, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$11.40Jun 15, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$299.65Jun 15, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$11.40Jun 15, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$105.74Jun 12, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$91.06Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?$99.00Jun 11, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$398.00Jun 11, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by May 31?$1.1KJun 11, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.8KJun 11, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$3.4KJun 11, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$12.8KJun 11, 21:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $264.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 09:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 11:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.