Spicy-Newsstand
0xaa022fd67cd14cd9bba648558386f4180bad1df8
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$65.51
Total PnL
$0.51
Realised
$3.01
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
59 shares @ 38.8¢·now 31.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$18.71
$-4.29
- YES
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$7.65
$2.65
- YES
Will Beyoncé release an album in 2026?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.58
$-3.42
- YES
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?
22 shares @ 4.6¢·now 17.4¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$3.74
$2.74
- YES
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
13 shares @ 7.8¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$3.53
$2.53
- YES
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
4 shares @ 79.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
4 shares @ 78.3¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$3.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4 shares @ 56.5¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$2.80
$0.80
- YES
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?
12 shares @ 8.2¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$2.20
$1.20
- YES
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
3 shares @ 69.2¢·now 72.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.09
$0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.05May 13, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.05May 13, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.04May 13, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.04May 13, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.04May 13, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.04May 13, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?$1.03May 13, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$1.01May 13, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$1.01May 13, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01May 13, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beyonce have a #1 hit in the US in May?$1.03May 11, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$1.02Apr 30, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?$3.03Apr 30, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$1.01Apr 30, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beyoncé be the top Spotify artist for 2026?$1.05Apr 30, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beyoncé release an album in 2026?$10.02Apr 30, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?$1.00Apr 16, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?$1.00Apr 16, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 16, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Apr 16, 12:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 15:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 19:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".