0xaa3be15d42d7dfa0302f9dd6053e82e30bee0468
0xaa3be15d42d7dfa0302f9dd6053e82e30bee0468
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$8.82
Total PnL
$-31.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
52 shares @ 17.2¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.54
$-0.46
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
111 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.28
$-1.72
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 3PM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3PM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
667 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?
29 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.32Jun 2, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$6.48Jun 2, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.26May 16, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$2.14Apr 30, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 29, 3PM ET$5.36Apr 29, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3PM ET$5.36Apr 29, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$12.89Apr 29, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?$5.10Apr 29, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$4.08Apr 29, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$10.00Apr 29, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?$4.08Apr 29, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$3.78Apr 29, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$4.08Apr 29, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$4.20Apr 28, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$10.00Apr 28, 15:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $5.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 15:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 21:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.