Incomplete-Underwear
0xaa44a1d05bbbdd962123e04d82d72ea8a3e00a39
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-18.7K
Realised
$-769.61
Win rate
70%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?
141447 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-7.1K
- YES
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?
95044 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.2K
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
10000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
9106 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
4000 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-539.99
- YES
Will voter turnout be at least 65% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?
3788 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.52
- YES
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?
2700 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-405.00
- YES
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?
2512 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-531.97
- YES
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
2470 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-324.04
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
2000 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-220.00
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$1.74Jul 9, 21:14 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$535.53Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$435.60Jul 6, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$428.57Jul 5, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$485.21Jul 4, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$182.05Jul 3, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$351.98Jul 2, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$1.99Jul 1, 17:50 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$47.29Jun 30, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$246.22Jun 29, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$482.38Jun 28, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.0KJun 27, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.6KJun 26, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.5KJun 25, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.8KJun 24, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.3KJun 23, 14:57 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.14Jun 23, 00:13 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.0KJun 22, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.2KJun 21, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.5KJun 20, 00:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
46/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
70% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $91.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 21:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.