Aching-Thermals
0xaa6801e4ac3b4d6acb8d8700ca20af73be3f94a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$7.2K
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
3000 shares @ 85.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.0K
$411.53
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
2600 shares @ 24.3¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$819.00
$186.02
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
1000 shares @ 81.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$804.99
$-5.00
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
1053 shares @ 60.7¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$636.82
$-1.76
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$477.50
$7.50
- NO
Trump on $250 bill this year?
500 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$452.50
$-2.50
- NO
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
358 shares @ 97.7¢·now 97.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$349.81
$0.50
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
995 shares @ 57.9¢·now 29.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$296.08
$-280.15
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
258 shares @ 61.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$158.49
$1.29
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
200 shares @ 63.0¢·now 76.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$152.70
$26.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$15.00May 30, 07:37 UTC
- CONVERSIONTexas Senate Election Winner$638.31May 30, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$55.05May 30, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?$6.00May 30, 04:08 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$12.27May 30, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.74May 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 30, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?$13.00May 30, 00:07 UTC
- REWARD$24.87May 30, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$366.92May 29, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$3.13May 29, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$470.00May 29, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$6.10May 29, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$28.26May 29, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$157.20May 29, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$1.56May 29, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?$6.00May 29, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$39.10May 29, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$78.21May 29, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$7.82May 29, 20:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $83.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 04:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 07:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".