Careful-Airbus
0xaa958092dcae5e79196d2c978eb21d02255ec1a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$11.98
Total PnL
$-3.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$2.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.79
$0.79
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.52
$0.52
- YES
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the Super Bowl?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- YES
Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Will no listed leader be out in 2025?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.23
$0.23
- YES
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 83.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.08
$-0.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$1.00Feb 10, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win the Super Bowl?$1.00Feb 4, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$1.00Jan 20, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.00Dec 30, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tippy win the Aster trading competition?$1.00Dec 23, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$1.12Dec 23, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?$1.14Dec 23, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$1.14Dec 23, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$1.16Dec 23, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.16Dec 23, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?$1.41Dec 23, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Holness be the next Prime Minister of Jamaica after the election?$1.45Dec 23, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill RB Leipzig win on 2025-08-30?$1.49Dec 23, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo visit Turkey first?$1.79Dec 23, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill between 12 and 15 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?$1.82Dec 23, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$1.00Dec 16, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no listed leader be out in 2025?$1.00Dec 5, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$1.00Nov 25, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Nov 18, 09:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 09:20 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 07:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".