Peaceful-Button
0xaadcb35627afca80decd42b154bba4c8a1cd4925
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$547.81
Total PnL
$-9.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
4000 shares @ 25.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$500.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
8571 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$47.14
$-452.85
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
36 shares @ 17.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.66
$-5.43
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
150000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-999.90
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?
44671 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-999.96
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
37907 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-999.98
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
34842 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-499.99
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
17386 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-999.99
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?
14202 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by June 30?$0.20Apr 8, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by June 30?$3.89Apr 8, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by June 30?$2.00Apr 8, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$500.00Mar 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$500.00Mar 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?$1000.00Mar 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$1000.00Mar 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?$1000.00Mar 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$1000.00Mar 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$20.00Feb 9, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?$1000.00Feb 9, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?$1000.00Feb 9, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?$1000.00Jan 31, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?$100.00Jan 31, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$200.00Jan 31, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?$2.9KJan 31, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?$1000.00Jan 17, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$1.0KJan 17, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$100.00Jan 9, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.0KJan 9, 00:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 2, 21:08 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 03:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.